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Beyond Anonymous Order Flow: Wallet Identity as a Feature for Short-Horizon Return Prediction

arXiv · 2026-11-03 · buzz 80

Conventional public order-book data summarize trading without identifying the accounts behind it. Hyperliquid's Level-4 record also exposes persistent pseudonymous wallet addresses. We reconstruct full-depth books from consensus-ordered messages and evaluate wallet identity as a feature for short-horizon return prediction. The July 1-27, 2026 record covers 17.1 billion messages, 14.3 million aggre

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